Syria

Expect More Violence, Not Democracy Transition, In Post-Assad Syria

(Photo: Paul Grover)

When I wrote in a previous post that Assad may deploy chemical weapons against the Syrian opposition in revenge for the July 18 bombing in Damascus, it is equally important to emphasize this type of violence could also occur in a post-Assad Syria. Continue reading “Expect More Violence, Not Democracy Transition, In Post-Assad Syria”

Israel, Palestinians

Weekend Thinking: Israelis and Palestinians

The failure to advance Israeli-Palestinian peace talks have produced a surge of commentary among analysts and pundits advocating various alternatives.  The primary scenarios proffered include maintaining the status quo and refusing to compromise, a one-state bi-national option, a two-state option in which a Palestinian state lives next to Israel, and a three-state option in which the West Bank and Gaza Strip each with their separate governments form distinct states, perhaps uniting with Jordan and Egypt, respectively. Continue reading “Weekend Thinking: Israelis and Palestinians”

Palestinians

Give Palestinian Third Parties a Chance

Published in the Daily Beast on July 26, 2012.

No, Dani Dayan, the status quo in the West Bank cannot continue.

I’ll leave it to other commentators to explain why this is the case on the Israeli side.  But when it comes to the Palestinian side, it’s time to consider alternatives to Fatah and Hamas—they’re not all we’ve got.

Hamas and Fatah aren’t making Obama’s promise of democratic transition in the Arab world a reality, it might be time for all of us—Palestinians, Israelis, and Americans—to consider third party alternatives. Continue reading “Give Palestinian Third Parties a Chance”

Syria

Assad’s Chemical Revenge

Syrian dictator Bashar Assad has faced intense sanctions and international pressure from the West, Turkey and Gulf Arab states, for the nearly 20,000 deaths since the anti-government uprising began sixteen months ago.  In spite of the atrocities and grave violations of human rights, pro-Assad and opposition forces appear to have reached a deadlock. However the tide may soon turn in favor of Assad. Continue reading “Assad’s Chemical Revenge”

Egypt, Gaza

The Egypt-Gaza Nexus

(AFP/Hamas/File, Mohammed al-Hams)

A gradual yet significant shift in Egyptian policy toward Gaza has occurred since Mohamed Morsi won the presidency in democratic elections in June.  Hosni Mubarak enforced a blockade of Gaza with Israel since 2007, severely limiting the freedom of movement for Palestinians. Continue reading “The Egypt-Gaza Nexus”